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Warning: Early GDP indicator flashing red

The dramatic scramble for U.S. debt as a safe haven has pushed a bond market recession indicator inches away from the warning.

Low long-term yields typically signal expectations of low economic growth.. many people take it as a warning signaling near-term unease.. A closely followed recession indicator is flashing.

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Keep up to date with all key economic data and event releases. The Eurozone PMI dashboard is a sea of red, with all lights.

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First up is a summary of the four groups of indicators in the recession forecast model. I use traffic lights as an intuitive way to display the combined readings for each of the four categories. The.

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 · Economic expansions never go on forever. As the United States’ long, slow recovery from the Great Recession stretches past the decade mark, regulators and.

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 · The yield curve’ is one of the most accurate predictors of a future recession – and it’s flashing warning signs july 12, 2019 8.00am edt julius probst , Lund University

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It can stoke economic. for early indications the U.S. economy is slipping into recession. Like other labor market.